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Dr. Z's top 15 heavyweight prospects

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    Dr. Z's top 15 heavyweight prospects





    To qualify for the list of prospects, you must be under the age of 35 ( sorry Joyce you are too old) and have not fought for a WBC/IBF/WBA/WBO title.

    You must also be undefeated. Okay, everyone got it? I have seen each person at least once. My rankings are a mix of results to date pro potential and accomplishments. Almost everyone is a super heavyweight, some with good skills. The game has changed to big out fighters with long reaches and a lot of power.


    1 ) Hrgovic ( Rated inside the top ten by ring magazine ). Age 30

    He's big. 6'6'' had great reach 82" and weighs about 245 lbs. He can take a punch. In fact, he took some real zingers from guys who can hit in the amateurs and pro and didn't even have to clinch. Chins are best tested when they are hit by punchers, and how you react to it when hit tells you a lot. Good skills, good hand speed, and very good power. Good heart for battle too. Very accurate punching. A good body puncher too. He can in-fight and likes it. Fresh off his victory over Zhang who would beat most on this list. He was off in that fight. He is ready to graduate from this list as he's now the IBF mandatory. Very likely the next champion. I think he's beat Fury within a year and would TKO Wilder in short order, who has beaten nobody decent and fights a 38-year-old fighter next. A world title belt awaits. He needs to work on a few things though he is not a finished product yet.

    2 ) Sanchez ( Rated inside the top ten by ring magazine ) Age 30

    He's fast-handed and can fight well. Not a knock-out artist, though, his power is average. 6'4" with a 78" reach he's good enough these days, but the so-so chined Pero beat him three times is the amateurs so he's not an elite level boxer, rather he's is good one. Good on defense, which is semi rare for a heavyweight these days. I don't view his potential as a pro as good as the two fighters below him but I'm listing him here for now because he was fought some competition.

    3 ) Bahkhodir Jalolov Age 28. 6'7" tall with an 81" reach. 250 pounds. Oh what potential! Jarolov is a big southpaw who uses a punishing left . His straight left is the best in the game. Top end power is perhaps the second best on the list, which says something. He moves extremely well on legs of steel. Not an in-fighter, though. But with his length, power, speed and skills he doesn't have to be. The type of fighter who uses his legs, height and reach for offense and defense. The gold medal winner of the recent Toyko Olympics is a grade A prospect, which is why I rate him 3rd. In a year, he can be the top prospect sometime in 2023.


    4) Arslanbeck Makhmudov Age 33. 6'5" 1/2 " 80" reach 260 pounds. Makmudov is a scary-looking dude and a rare puncher. When he hits guys they are immediately hurt, and unable to clinch or move out the way for the most part. Such are the marks of a true puncher regardless of who he is facing. He's has the best power in the game. And he's intimidating. Skills are only okay. He owns a sick uppercut. His power is so great that he has more than just a puncher's chance. He 33 now, so he should be moved quickly.

    5 ) Jarrell Miller. Age 34. 300+ pounds. The first Amerian on the list is already 34 and a two-time PED abuser. He's a big man, fat but can move, and has stamina. His power is only good. A rare in-fighter who can take it. A finished product, with suspensions hanging over him, he must watch his weight.

    6) Agit Kabyel. Age 29. 6'3" tall, 235 pounds. Not that big ( by today's standards ) not the fastest, and not that strong, he's your perfect opponent for a title match because he a low risk type. His upside rated lower than most on the list on potential, but he more accomplished than most. Hence he ranks 6th for now. Other guys below him have more professional upside.

    7 ) Justis Huni 6'4" 245 estimated reach 77" 245 pounds. Age 23 The World Olympic junior champion. This kid is not your typical limited Samon slugger. He is in fact, a good boxer with better-than-average power. He is quick and young. Skilled he can box. He is not likely to go beyond the top 4 due to his power level.


    8 ) Vlad Sirenko Age 27 6'3 1/2" estimated reach 79"/ This good looking by a fighters standard has both fast hands and power. He stepped his competition lately and did just fine. In the amateurs, he was stopped twice, and he does not have a good chin. However, he can get favorable marketing based on his offense and good looks.


    9 ) Jared Anderson Age 22 6'4" 1/2 " 78 1/2" reach/ 245 pounds The best American young heavyweight in years. He's big, skilled, and can punch. Being moved fairly quickly. The promoters are salivating over him. Unless I miss my guess, he's going somewhere. Lacks big time amatuertuer sucess. Reminds me a bit of Rid**** Bowe. I think he's the best American prospect in a long time. Look for him to move up the prospect list in a year.

    10 ) Mark Petrovski Age 23 6'0 estimated reach 76". 215 pounds. The young Petrocki recently went pro ( 1-0 ) after winning the world super heavyweight amatuer championship. He's a little small for a heavyweight, about 6'0" 215 pounds, but he can fight. And he's got a good chin and heart. He's a has moving/unloading style when he gets inside. He's got quick and accurate hands. Not one to take a step back. He has the right style for his size, but I wonder about his upper potential as a pro vs. the best big men who are all skilled super heavyweights that feature natural height, range, and power these days.

    11 ) Ivan Dyhcko Age 32 The very tall and mobile came in 2nd in the world amateurs before turning pro. Can really move and jab losing in the Olympics via margin to Joshua and losing while ahead in the finals of the world amatuer championships to puncher Maijdov, who was a puncher and a multiple world amateur champion that flamed out via TKO loss in the pros. Dyhcko doesn't have bad chin since it was the only time he was stopped b a top puncher. Not a big puncher though, he can move, and he has the reach, as he is tough to outbox. Somewhat comparable to Fury due to his 6'9" height and estimated 84" reach and mobility. Has promotional problems getting the fights he needs.

    12 ) Viktor Vykhryst Age 6'6" 235 pounds 81" reach. Age 30. Vkyhryst is a big technical fighter who does everything well but lacks a dominating trait. Good Counter puncher. He was the European heavyweight champion as an amateur. Another super heavyweight who is skilled. Down recently in a fight, so he doesn't have a good chin.

    13 ) Gudio Vanellio Age 27. 6'6" 79" reach, 240 pounds. The Italian definitely has fast hands and power. Yet he had trouble in a MD fight vs a nobody. Could lack toughness. When you watch him initially, you are impressed. Well see if he is as impressive when he moves up. I have some reservations about him.

    14 ) Stephan Shaw 6'4, 81" reach 235 pounds. Age 32. Shaw is your run in the mill heavyweight prospect. He's not special in any area, though, and had a brief and mediocre amateur career. Not likey to go very far.

    15 ) Fabio Wardley 6'5", estimated reach 80" 235 pounds. There aren't any UK based prospects who qualify as prospects these days. Wardley does. He had 14 fights, and can punch. But hes' raw and has no listed amateur fights. Could have used amateur seasoning.


    Agree or disagree with the order you can re-arrange it ( mind my rules as stated above in bold type ). Comments in general are welcome as I don't know everything and you might have seen fights I have not.

    Final thoughts:

    The style of the smaller heavy heavyweight, without top-level power, has been forced out of professional heavyweight boxing. There just aren't any more 6'2" and under boxer types without at least good power as heavyweight prospects. Otherwise, you'd see them. I find just one Joe Frazier type, a swarming in-fighter with good footwork and movement, plus the stamina, chin, and heart necessary for the style, and he's very young. I listed him in the top 15 heavyweight prospects. The rest of the prospects, well most of them are super heavyweights over 6'3" tall and 225 pounds. Boxing sees a need for a new division, the Brider Weight. It's above cruiser weight divson ( 201 lbs ) and ends at 220 pounds. My natural reaction was negative, but the way things are going, it is needed and there might be a lot of good 201-220 pound fights. You certainly will not find many fighters between this range competing at this range in the modern heavyweight division. Otherwise the go for the fame and money given to a world title belt holders heavyweight.

    #2
    With more prospects coming from amateur background (especially east Europeans) lots of prospects are 30 and above. They turn to pro at mid twenties and build reputation pretty quickly. Not only in HW, but the same blueprint as Usyk, Lomachenko, Beterbiev, GGG. This means their pro career must be well planned, otherwise the time frame is too narrow. Joyce is a late bloomer, but I still consider him as a prospect and can have a good 4-5 years ahead of him- his wear and tear might not be as significant as those who started at much younger age.

    Comment


      #3
      Originally posted by rully View Post
      With more prospects coming from amateur background (especially east Europeans) lots of prospects are 30 and above. They turn to pro at mid twenties and build reputation pretty quickly. Not only in HW, but the same blueprint as Usyk, Lomachenko, Beterbiev, GGG. This means their pro career must be well planned, otherwise the time frame is too narrow. Joyce is a late bloomer, but I still consider him as a prospect and can have a good 4-5 years ahead of him- his wear and tear might not be as significant as those who started at much younger age.
      Thanks, I only listed one prospect above 33 and he has issues with PED's and weight. Joyce is 36 year old. Too old for to be considered a prospect. His experience in the amateurs was good ( Silver medial in the Olympics and only Ko'd once ). Unless the maturity of humans and their physical decline has somehow changed he will be too old in 4-5 years, no one in sports is in there prime at age 40 and over. Joyce's time is now. But your right, he is like the other amateur stars as he proved something then.

      Comment


        #4
        Originally posted by Dr. Z View Post

        Thanks, I only listed one prospect above 33 and he has issues with PED's and weight. Joyce is 36 year old. Too old for to be considered a prospect. His experience in the amateurs was good ( Silver medial in the Olympics and only Ko'd once ). Unless the maturity of humans and their physical decline has somehow changed he will be too old in 4-5 years, no one in sports is in there prime at age 40 and over. Joyce's time is now. But your right, he is like the other amateur stars as he proved something then.

        I really like Jalolov's potential. Has anyone seen him?

        Comment


          #5
          Cant See Hrgovic, Big Mak, Sanchez, Kabayel, Miller as prospects anymore. Those are contenders.

          I would replace with Khossobutzky, Pero, Zakhoziy, Frazer Clarke, Antonio Mirelles.

          Jalolov is the top prospect out there.
          Last edited by 11player; 08-23-2022, 11:57 AM.
          garfios garfios likes this.

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            #6
            Fantastic list and evaluations of all the guys. However, imagine being a prospect in your late 20's and early to mid 30's? What is taking these fighters so long to develop? Is it no one wants blemishes on their record so they dont lose marketability? I see a lot of European's on the list, are the styles of today's fighters just not good enough? Opinions?
            Dr. Z Dr. Z likes this.

            Comment


              #7
              Originally posted by mromano View Post
              Fantastic list and evaluations of all the guys. However, imagine being a prospect in your late 20's and early to mid 30's? What is taking these fighters so long to develop? Is it no one wants blemishes on their record so they dont lose marketability? I see a lot of European's on the list, are the styles of today's fighters just not good enough? Opinions?
              Boxing and getting a lot of fights has been tough lately because of covid and promotional issues. That and lots of heavyweights mature later than 30, but over 35 is too old for a prospect and if you haven't fought top ten rated by that time its too late in general. Most of the top on the list with the exception of two guys is under 31 years of age. The future of heavyweight boxing. I'd be surprised if this is doesn't produce 4 alphabet champions world title holders.

              The old European style is gone seen in boxing 15-50 yards ago, and replaced by " super heavyweights " . This is the style of the present and the future. The talent is this top 15 prospects at least for now is lacking American heavyweights ( only 2 of 15, and one has PED issues, is 34 and is fat ) ,and UK based heavies ( just one man made the cut ). Though Frazier Clark is knocking on the door, he just was not and outstanding as amateur and is too new to rate as a pro which is why he didn't make the cut of 15 when I posted it. He may in 1-2 years for now. I plan to update this list every annually. Styles has nothing to due with my ratings. Ability does.
              Last edited by Dr. Z; 08-23-2022, 02:13 PM.
              mromano mromano likes this.

              Comment


                #8
                And Hrgovic wants Zhang again. When a young heavy wins his break through on a tough IBF elimination match it's nearly unheard of for him to call again. Yet the is doing that. Respect for him. Something was off with his performance, not to take anything away from Zhang who like Hrgovic is now in the Ring Magazine's top ten heavyweights.This is the first time an Asian heavyweight has been in Ring Magazine's top ten.
                Last edited by Dr. Z; 08-27-2022, 02:30 PM.
                MikeyMike100 MikeyMike100 likes this.

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                  #9
                  Originally posted by Dr. Z View Post

                  4) Arslanbeck Makhmudov Age 33. 6'5" 1/2 " 80" reach 260 pounds. Makmudov is a scary-looking dude and a rare puncher. When he hits guys they are immediately hurt, and unable to clinch or move out the way for the most part. Such are the marks of a true puncher regardless of who he is facing. He's has the best power in the game. And he's intimidating. Skills are only okay. He owns a sick uppercut. His power is so great that he has more than just a puncher's chance. He 33 now, so he should be moved quickly.
                  .
                  I've never seen Mariusz Wach hurt that badly before. Mak took a few rounds to warm up, but once he let his hands go, Wach couldn't keep him off of him. What's scary is how Mak looked full of energy when the ref stopped it . . . like he could continue that pace for the full 12 rounds . . . there aren't many heavyweights who can survive that long.

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Originally posted by SN!PER View Post

                    I've never seen Mariusz Wach hurt that badly before. Mak took a few rounds to warm up, but once he let his hands go, Wach couldn't keep him off of him. What's scary is how Mak looked full of energy when the ref stopped it . . . like he could continue that pace for the full 12 rounds . . . there aren't many heavyweights who can survive that long.
                    I don't think Mak can keep up a fast pace for 12 rounds. Only in shape heavies such as Usyk can do that. In his case the others heavies, they better be able to keep away for all 12 rounds and most of them are not as durable as Wach is! But Mak looked good and appears to have more than power to his game.

                    I have received messages for others. Richard Torres who I do not think will go on the top 15 ranked heavies at Box Rec, but is good enough to rank on my top 15 prospect list with a few more fights. He won the silver medal at the Olympics with a good draw, opposite if Jalolov and Clarke. I think Frazier Clark will be on my top 15 prospect list in time, and has a chance to chance to crack the top among the top 15 Heavyweights ranked at Box Rec. He's big, and can hit.
                    Last edited by Dr. Z; 09-07-2022, 07:02 AM.

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